Now that finals are over (Finally!) and we looked at the Phantoms’ rookies, why not see how VUKOTA is doing so far for the Flyers?
If you remember, VUKOTA predicted a fairly similar team performance, but individuals were projected to return to a level closer to what was expected last year – as opposed to what was given last year.
I have a lot more information than what will be posted – so as not to overload with numbers – so if you’re curious, just ask. But jump for the tables.
On the left, you’ll see the projections and on the right, the current rates. I took into account games missed, which is why Carcillo is projected to play 45 games. Also, assists aren’t listed because who cares about passing? No, seriously, I that’s two columns less, and dramatically fewer numbers. Plus, I figure you can do the math if you really want.
table { }.font5 { color: windowtext; font-size: 8pt; font-weight: 400; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none; font-family: Verdana; }td { padding-top: 1px; padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; color: windowtext; font-size: 10pt; font-weight: 400; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none; font-family: Verdana; vertical-align: bottom; border: medium none; white-space: nowrap; }.xl24 { text-align: center; }.xl25 { text-align: center; border-width: medium medium medium 0.5pt; border-style: none none none solid; border-color: -moz-use-text-color -moz-use-text-color -moz-use-text-color windowtext; }.xl26 { text-align: center; }.xl27 { text-align: center; border-width: medium medium medium 0.5pt; border-style: none none none solid; border-color: -moz-use-text-color -moz-use-text-color -moz-use-text-color windowtext; }.xl28 { text-align: center; }ruby { }rt { color: windowtext; font-size: 8pt; font-weight: 400; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none; font-family: Verdana; display: none; }
| GP | G | Pts | GP | G | Pts | |
| Blair Betts | 62.1 | 6.3 | 13.9 | 82.0 | 7.5 | 22.4 |
| Danny Briere | 65.2 | 22.5 | 53.0 | 74.5 | 39.8 | 59.6 |
| Dan Carcillo | 63.7 | 9.1 | 20.6 | 44.7 | 2.5 | 5.0 |
| Jeff Carter | 77.4 | 35.8 | 69.9 | 82.0 | 32.3 | 67.1 |
| Claude Giroux | 69.8 | 19.6 | 51.3 | 82.0 | 39.8 | 74.5 |
| Scott Hartnell | 71.7 | 20.2 | 48.9 | 82.0 | 19.9 | 54.7 |
| Ville Leino | 53.9 | 10.1 | 25.0 | 82.0 | 17.4 | 57.2 |
| Darroll Powe | 60.4 | 8.7 | 16.7 | 82.0 | 7.5 | 24.8 |
| Mike Richards | 77.3 | 30.1 | 71.6 | 82.0 | 27.3 | 77.0 |
| Jody Shelley | 50.3 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 77.0 | 2.5 | 7.5 |
| James van Riemsdyk | 72.8 | 18.7 | 40.9 | 72.1 | 17.4 | 37.3 |
The first thing you should notice is just how accurate VUKOTA is through 40% of the season. The only big outliers are Blair Betts, Dan Carcillo, Claude Giroux, and Ville Leino. And only Carcillo’s projection is low.
Pretty impressive if the Flyers actually end up with six 50-point forwards and four 25-goal scorers. If that happens, you might say the VUKOTA projections were off. But I think we’ll all be okay with that.
table { }.font5 { color: windowtext; font-size: 8pt; font-weight: 400; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none; font-family: Verdana; }td { padding-top: 1px; padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; color: windowtext; font-size: 10pt; font-weight: 400; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none; font-family: Verdana; vertical-align: bottom; border: medium none; white-space: nowrap; }.xl24 { text-align: center; }.xl25 { text-align: center; border-width: medium medium medium 0.5pt; border-style: none none none solid; border-color: -moz-use-text-color -moz-use-text-color -moz-use-text-color windowtext; }ruby { }rt { color: windowtext; font-size: 8pt; font-weight: 400; font-style: normal; text-decoration: none; font-family: Verdana; display: none; }
| Name | GP | A | Pts | GP | A | Pts |
| Oskars Bartulis | 51.8 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Matt Carle | 72.3 | 25.7 | 32.3 | 82.0 | 34.8 | 37.3 |
| Braydon Coburn | 72.9 | 18.3 | 23.8 | 82.0 | 17.4 | 19.9 |
| Andrej Meszaros | 68.3 | 15.4 | 21.3 | 79.5 | 27.3 | 29.8 |
| Sean O`Donnell | 62.1 | 9.4 | 10.8 | 82.0 | 17.4 | 17.4 |
| Chris Pronger | 72.0 | 35.8 | 45.6 | 77.0 | 27.3 | 37.3 |
| Kimmo Timonen | 68.5 | 26.6 | 32.4 | 82.0 | 34.8 | 37.3 |
If you remember or re-read the VUKOTA preview, you already know the Flyers had too many projected games out of their defensemen. This group of players weren’t projected to go over (I removed Walker, since he hasn’t played yet), but until Wednesday, they were staying remarkably healthy.
They also were playing quite well.
Honestly, there isn’t a lot to breakdown here, as VUKOTA – so far – is quite accurate. I guess that’s the good news: The Flyers individually are playing as expected. What does that mean for the team? Well, one would assume only great things.
That is all. Enjoy.
