History of the 11th overall pick

The NHL draft Lottery on Tuesday night wasn’t exactly the most fun for Philadelphia Flyers’ fans. Not only did the New Jersey Devils land the first overall pick and the New York Rangers grab the second, but the Orange and Black dropped from having the 10th overall pick to the 11th. After the team added on points in January, February, and March despite essentially being out of the playoff picture in December, having two divisional rivals land the two prizes at the top of the draft while moving outside of the top 10 is pretty annoying.

With that being said, the Flyers will have an opportunity to land a pretty good player at 11. It isn’t the most exciting pick, but it’s still near the top of the draft and the Flyers have had success in this spot before. In fact, a few teams have had some success picking 11th over the years. To see just how well 11th overall picks have turned out, let’s look at each one in the NHL Entry Draft era.

Players taken 11th overall

Player Draft Team Position Games Points Accolades
Oliver Wahlstrom 2018 New York Islanders RW 0 0
Gabriel Vildardi 2017 Los Angeles Kings Center 0 0
Logan Brown 2016 Ottawa Senators Center 6 1
Lawson Crouse 2015 Florida Panthers LW 164 38
Kevin Fiala 2014 Nashville Predators LW 223 104 20-goal season
Samuel Morin 2013 Philadelphia Flyers LHD 8 0
Filip Forsberg 2012 Washington Capitals Center 395 305 2 30-goal seasons, 3 20-goal season
Duncan Siemens 2011 Colorado Avalanche LHD 20 2
Jack Campbell 2010 Dallas Stars Goalie 38 .925 save %
Ryan Ellis 2009 Nashville Predators RHD 478 214
Kyle Beach 2008 Chicago Blackhawks Center 0 0
Brandon Sutter 2007 Carolina Hurricanes C/RW 683 260 2 20-goal seasons
Jonathan Bernier 2006 Los Angeles Kings Goalie 324 .913 save %
Anze Kopitar 2005 Los Angeles Kings Center 1,003 888 2 Stanley Cups, 2 Selkes, 1 Lady Byng, 3 30-goal seasons, 7 20-goal seasons, 1 90-point season, 1 80-point season, 5 70-point seasons
Lauri Tukonen 2004 Los Angeles Kings RW 5 0
Jeff Carter 2003 Philadelphia Flyers Center 980 705 2 Stanley Cups, 1 40-goal season, 3 30-goal seasons, 7 20-goal seasons, 1 80-point season
Keith Ballard 2002 Buffalo Sabres LHD 604 175
Fredrik Sjostrom 2001 Phoenix Coyotes RW 489 104
Pavel Vorobiev 2000 Chicago Blackhawks RW 57 25
Oleg Saprykin 1999 Calgary Flames LW 325 137
Jeff Heerema 1998 Carolina Hurricanes RW 32 6
Jason Ward 1997 Montreal Canadiens RW 336 81
Dan Focht 1996 Phoenix Coyotes LHD 82 8
Jarome Iginla 1995 Dallas Stars RW 1,554 1,300 2 Maurice Richards, 1 Ted Lindsay Award, 1 Art Ross, 1 King Clancy, 2 50-goal seasons, 2 40-goal seasons, 8 30-goal seasons, 5 20-goal seasons, 3 90-point seasons, 2 80-point seasons, 2 70-point seasons
Jeff Friesen 1994 San Jose Sharks LW 893 516 1 Stanley Cup, 1 30-goal season, 4 20-goal seasons
Brendan Witt 1993 Washington Capitals LHD 890 121
David Cooper 1992 Buffalo Sabres LHD 30 10
Brian Rolston 1991 New Jersey Devils Center 1,256 761 1 Stanley Cup, 4 30-goal seasons, 3 20-goal seasons
Trevor Kidd 1990 Calgary Flames Goalie 387 0.901
Mike Sillinger 1989 Detroit Red Wings Center 1,049 548 1 30-goal season, 4 20-goal season
Chris Govedaris 1988 Hartford Whalers LW 45 10
Yves Racine 1987 Detroit Red Wings LHD 508 231
Scott Young 1986 Hartford Whalers RW 1,181 757 2 Stanley Cups, 1 40-goal season, 1 30-goal season, 6 20-goal seasons
Dave Manson 1985 Chicago Blackhawks LHD 1,103 390
Sylvain Cote 1984 Hartford Whalers RHD 1,171 435 20-goal season
Adam Creighton 1983 Buffalo Sabres Center 708 403 1 30-goal season, 3 20-goal season
Michel Petit 1982 Vancouver Canucks RHD 827 328
Randy Moller 1981 Quebec Nordiques RHD 815 225
Mike Blaisdell 1980 Detroit Red Wings RW 343 154 20-goal season
Mike Ramsey 1979 Buffalo Sabres LHD 1,070 345

Since the NHL Entry Draft started in 1979 there have been 40 players taken 11th overall. Out of those 40 players:

  • 17 have played in 500 NHL games or more, with eight of those 17 taking part in 1,000 games or more. This doesn’t include Ryan Ellis (478 games) and Filip Forsberg (395), who seem pretty likely to reach the 500-game mark.
  • 12 have gone on to produce at least one 20-goal season in the NHL, 10 of which had multiple 20-goal seasons. Nine have produced a 30-goal season, three of which (Jeff Carter, Jarome Iginla, and Scott Young) have produced a 40-goal season.
  • Five have won Stanley Cups. Three of those five (Anze Kopitar, Carter, Young) have won two.
  • One player (Iginla) has either led the league in goal scoring or points./

To go along with these players who hit career milestones, a bunch of these players will be remembered for other things. One of them nearly murdered their own goalie on the ice, another was hit by a car, one of them had front row seats to a goal that clinched a Stanley Cup, and a fourth one attempted to play for every hockey team ever assembled.

In the history of their franchise, the Flyers have selected 11th overall only twice: in 2013 when they took Samuel Morin and in 2003 when they took Carter. Morin has taken a little bit of time to develop and reach the NHL, so we aren’t certain yet what his ceiling is as an NHL player. As for Carter, his 365 goals is fittingly the 11th-most in the league since he joined the Flyers in 2005-06. He also has the Flyers’ most recent 40-goal season, as he potted 46 back in 2008-09.

Besides the history of the pick itself and the Flyers’ experience picking in the spot, the 11th overall pick is interesting because it’s just close enough to the top of the draft where a player that was expected to possibly go within the first few selections could slide just outside the top 10. An example of this is in 2017, when the Los Angeles Kings managed to land forward Gabe Vilardi, who was the projected third overall pick for the majority of the 2016-17 season. If one of Vasili Podkolzin, Kirby Dach, or Dylan Cozens is there at 11 Flyers’ fans should be more than happy. This just serves as a reminder that sometimes things work out better than expected, which we should remember often this offseason.

*Stats via Hockey Reference.

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